Skip to main content

Jiang Xueqin

Basic Information​

  • Role: Beijing-based Educator, Writer, and Education Reform Advocate
  • Background: Canadian citizen of Chinese descent
  • Education: Yale College (BA English Literature, 1999, graduated with distinction)
  • Current Focus: Education reform, geopolitical analysis, international affairs commentary
  • Recent Recognition: YouTube channel "Predictive History" gained 500K+ subscribers in 2025 after viral Iran war prediction

Professional Background​

Educational Leadership​

  • Deputy Principal: Tsinghua University High School
  • Deputy Principal: Shenzhen Middle School
  • Director: International Division at Peking University High School
  • Specialization: Building study abroad programs, promoting global citizenship among Chinese students
  • Philosophy: Integrating creativity and critical thinking into Chinese education

International Recognition​

  • Global Forums: Speaker at Global Education & Skills Forum (GESF) in Dubai, World Innovation Summit for Education (WISE) in Doha
  • Advisory Roles: Selection committee for Global Teacher Prize, Pre-Jury for WISE Awards
  • Fellowship: Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts (RSA)

Media & Writing​

  • Columnist: New York Times Chinese website, China Youth Daily
  • Publications: Wall Street Journal, Chronicle of Higher Education
  • Media Appearances: CNN, BBC interviews
  • YouTube Channel: "Predictive History" (500K+ subscribers as of 2025)
  • Other Experience: Journalist, documentary filmmaker, United Nations official

Predictive History Framework (2025)​

Core Methodology​

Jiang has developed a systematic approach to historical analysis that demands empirical validation:

Three-Part Validation Test:

"If history is done correctly, if the framework for understanding of history is correct, then we should be able to do three things. The first is we should be able to connect the past... Second is we should be able to explain the present... The third thing is to be able to predict future events... So if the framework for history is able to accomplish all three then we know that we're approaching the truth."

Analytical Tools​

  1. Game Theory Analysis: Understanding how different actors benefit from various outcomes
  2. Historical Pattern Recognition: Applying ancient precedents to modern situations
  3. Eschatological Mapping: Tracking how religious end-times beliefs drive geopolitical actions

Teaching Philosophy & Methodology​

Historical Analysis Framework​

  • Thought Experiments: Uses business analogies to explain historical patterns
  • Pattern Recognition: Identifies recurring themes across different historical periods
  • Comparative Analysis: Draws parallels between ancient and modern conflicts/leaders

Key Analytical Tools​

  1. Father vs. Son Leadership Model: Distinguishes between builders (fathers) and expanders (sons)
  2. Poor vs. Rich Nations Theory: Explains how disadvantaged countries often conquer wealthy ones
  3. Great Leader Characteristics: Three-trait framework for world-changing leaders

Core Insights on Leadership​

The Three Qualities of Great World Leaders​

Quote from lecture:

"When we study other great leaders for example Genghis Khan, Muhammad, then we will recognize they all share very similar personality traits... The first is they are strategic to the point of visionary... The second thing is they are innovative to a point of revolutionary... The third quality is they are extremely disciplined to the point of selfless."

  1. Strategic/Visionary: Have a vision of what the world should be and long-term plans to achieve it
  2. Innovative/Revolutionary: Understand that changing the world requires destroying the status quo
  3. Disciplined/Selfless: Fanatically obsessed with achieving their vision over personal happiness

Historical Examples Cited​

  • Genghis Khan
  • Muhammad
  • Napoleon
  • Julius Caesar
  • Philip II of Macedon
  • Alexander the Great

Geopolitical Analysis​

Recent Recognition​

  • Viral 2024 Video: Predicted U.S. military conflict with Iran under potential second Trump presidency
  • 2025 Success: Iran war prediction accuracy led to explosive YouTube growth
  • International Affairs Commentary: Gained significant attention for geopolitical predictions
  • Media Coverage: Featured in Financial Express, Newsweek, Reddit discussions

Analytical Approach​

  • Uses historical patterns to predict modern conflicts
  • Applies ancient strategic principles to contemporary geopolitics
  • Focuses on underlying structural forces rather than surface-level politics
  • Employs game theory to understand actor motivations

Eschatological Analysis (Major 2025 Development)​

Eschatology as Prime Mover​

Jiang's most provocative thesis argues that religious end-times beliefs drive empire formation:

"What I argue in my videos is that eschatology is a prime mover of geopolitics. Now, a lot of people will say that's incorrect. It's empire that uses eschatology in order to advance its own material interests. But I disagree. I think it's reverse. I think that empires come about in order to achieve certain eschatologies and that was true for the British Empire and that's also true for the American empire."

Convergent Eschatologies​

Different religious traditions working toward similar end-times scenarios:

Unholy Alliances Example:

"Let's look at the example between Judaic eschatology and Christian Zionist eschatology. They both agree that when Israel is most threatened in the war of Gog and Magog, when the world is about to destroy Israel, Jesus will return that the Messiah will come. In the Jewish eschatology, the Messiah will enslave the Christians. In the Christian Zionist eschatology, Jesus will return and kill a third of the Jews and convert a third of the Jews. So, it's very cynical, but they're bitter enemies, but they're working towards the same goal, which is the end times."

World War III Prediction​

Convergent eschatologies point to Middle East/Anatolia as the theater for a major global conflict.

China Analysis (2025 Insights)​

Economic Reality Behind the Facade​

Jiang explains China's corruption-based economy through an Olympic stadium construction analogy:

"The local Beijing company said, 'It's very simple math.' Here's the math. 1 billion for you, 1 billion for me, and 1 billion for the Singaporeans to go build that stadium... That's the basis for the entire Chinese economy. That's why you see all these skyscrapers being built in China because it gives the corrupt officials a pretext to steal from the nation."

No Taiwan Invasion Prediction​

"If China invades Taiwan, then everything I believe about the world is completely wrong... I do not believe under any circumstances China will invade Taiwan. The Chinese Communist Party is first and foremost concerned about regime stability."

Religious Worldview Theory​

"What underpins all society is the religious worldview... The problem with this is that China is an atheist country and it's always been an atheist country. So the Chinese people are extremely materialistic people and that's why they're always looking to United States."

Technology Skepticism​

AI Analysis​

Contrarian view on artificial intelligence boom:

"You cannot find an AI company that is profitable. OpenAI ChatGPT they lose money on every subscriber... This is one of the big open secrets about artificial intelligence. It's not profitable and the technology is not transformative in the way that we think it is but it is memory destructive. It is socially destructive."

End-Stage Capitalism Theory​

"We've reached really the end stage of capitalism, right? It's monopoly capitalism where a few people have control all the money. The money has to go somewhere. So it goes into these big projects that cost trillions of dollars with a hope that it will transform society and remake the economy."

Notable Quotes from Lecture​

On Great Leaders:

"These are in many ways not human okay they don't behave [like] normal humans behave... normally if you're a prince you just want to have a good time right you just want to enjoy your wealth... but Philip wanted to change the world and so you can't possibly predict that."

On Historical Patterns:

"This repeats itself throughout history... you will see this in life you will see this throughout history."

On Military Innovation:

"What Philip understood is if I have coordination I can change my strategy and tactics according to the enemy... and so as over time this Army if you have these three things Mobility coordination and flexibility you'll be Invincible no one can beat you."

On Religious Imagination & Reality:

"That's a power of religion... the religious imagination... you can imagine a world and this world as long as many of you are Imaging it together it's more true more powerful more real than this world"

On Early Human Civilization:

"For most of human history we have been peaceful egalitarian and artistic... but there's been no evidence of organized Warfare that comes much later"

On Truth-Telling (2025):

"Let's tell the truth. All right? Let's tell the truth about what's happening. Let's tell the truth about what will happen. Let's not gaslight other people. Let's not hide our heads in the sand."

Teaching Characteristics​

Pedagogical Style​

  • Interactive: Frequently asks students questions to ensure understanding
  • Relatable: Uses modern analogies (North/South Korea, business examples)
  • Systematic: Builds knowledge progressively, references previous concepts
  • Engaging: Makes ancient history relevant to contemporary understanding

Educational Philosophy​

  • Pattern Recognition: Teaches students to see recurring themes across history
  • Critical Thinking: Encourages analysis of motives, opportunities, and outcomes
  • Global Perspective: Connects Eastern and Western historical experiences
  • Practical Application: Shows how historical lessons apply to modern situations

Areas of Expertise​

Ancient History​

  • Greek/Macedonian Period: Deep knowledge of Philip II, Alexander the Great
  • Military Strategy: Understanding of ancient tactics, formations, innovations
  • Political Dynamics: Analysis of power structures, alliances, succession

Comparative Civilizations​

  • East-West Parallels: Draws connections between Chinese and Western historical patterns
  • Leadership Studies: Cross-cultural analysis of great historical figures
  • Military History: Strategic innovations across different cultures and time periods

Modern Applications​

  • Contemporary Conflicts: Applies historical patterns to current geopolitical situations
  • Educational Reform: Uses historical examples to inform modern educational practices
  • Strategic Thinking: Teaches historical strategic principles for modern application

Personal Characteristics​

Intellectual Approach​

  • Analytical: Breaks down complex historical processes into understandable components
  • Systematic: Builds comprehensive frameworks for understanding historical change
  • Provocative: Willing to challenge conventional historical narratives
  • Interdisciplinary: Combines history, strategy, psychology, education, and religion

Communication Style​

  • Clear: Makes complex ideas accessible to students
  • Engaging: Uses storytelling and analogies effectively
  • Interactive: Maintains dialogue with audience
  • Passionate: Demonstrates genuine enthusiasm for historical understanding

Current Focus Areas​

  • Education Reform: Promoting critical thinking in Chinese education system
  • Geopolitical Analysis: Applying historical patterns to predict modern conflicts
  • YouTube Education: Building "Predictive History" curriculum for global audience
  • Eschatological Studies: Mapping religious end-times beliefs to geopolitical movements
  • Historical Pattern Recognition: Teaching universal principles of leadership and conquest
  • Civilization Studies: Analysis of how belief systems shape social structures across human history

Notable Insights​

Father vs. Son Leadership Dynamic​

  • Builders (Fathers): Innovative, fair, selfless - create foundations
  • Expanders (Sons): Aggressive, loyal to friends, glory-seeking - scale operations
  • Historical Pattern: This dynamic repeats throughout history with empire builders

Poor Conquers Rich Theory​

  • Unity vs. Division: Poor nations often more united, rich nations become divided by inequality
  • Hunger vs. Complacency: Disadvantaged populations work harder, privileged become soft
  • Modern Example: Used North/South Korea to illustrate principle

Strategic Principles​

  • Discipline Creates Invincibility: Mobility, coordination, flexibility make armies unbeatable
  • Meritocracy Over Aristocracy: Promoting talent over social status builds stronger organizations
  • Leadership by Example: Great leaders fight alongside their troops, share hardships

Religious Imagination Framework (September 2024 Lecture)​

  • Collective Belief Creates Reality: "Religious imagination... you can imagine a world and this world as long as many of you are Imaging it together it's more true more powerful more real than this world"
  • Three Requirements for Powerful Religion: Grandness (vast scope), Completeness (explains everything), Unity (clear beginning and end)
  • Belief Systems Determine Social Structure: Animistic beliefs naturally created peaceful, egalitarian societies; different beliefs create different social orders
  • Ancient vs. Modern Consciousness: Contrasts spiritual worldview (spirit world more real than physical) with materialistic worldview (only measurable things are real)

Credibility Stakes (2025)​

Jiang has publicly staked his intellectual reputation on his predictions:

"I would be perfectly happy if none of these predictions happen because I have three kids and I want them to grow up in a safe world... I'll be perfectly happy to come back on your show if none of these things happen and say I'm an idiot and no one should ever take anything I say anymore because my entire understanding of history, geopolitics is wrong."

Upcoming Projects​

Educational Initiatives​

  • Fall 2025: "Secret History of the World" course (convergence of intelligence and religion)
  • Spring 2026: Great Books introduction course
  • Spring 2026: Game Theory Analysis course
  • Future: Advanced internet courses for sophisticated audiences