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Western Collapse: Baby Boomer Empire Analysis

Author: Jiang Xueqin (Predictive History)
Date: 2025-08-08
Source: Geo-Strategy Update #8: Why the West is Doomed

Core Thesis​

Jiang Xueqin presents a provocative analysis arguing that the Western world is experiencing irreversible collapse driven not by immigrants, politicians, or external forces, but by the Baby Boomer generation's fundamental selfishness and refusal to relinquish power.

The Canadian Case Study: Immigration as Symptom, Not Cause​

Personal Immigration Experience​

Jiang's family immigrated from China to Canada in 1983, during China's Cultural Revolution when toilet paper was considered "the ultimate luxury." His father worked as a dishwasher his entire life, facing daily racism and humiliation:

"One day my dad and I went to a supermarket to buy some butter... my dad asked him, 'Sorry, sir. Do you know where the butter is?' The store clerk looks at him briefly and says, 'Sorry, I don't work here.' That's a sort of humiliation that my dad face every day."

Current Immigration Crisis​

"Right now a quarter 25% of Canadians are foreign born first generation immigrants like myself. So if there were ever a referendum and Canadians could choose whether or not to join the United States voluntarily, most of these immigrants would immediately say, 'Let's join the United States because there are more economic opportunities.'"

Canada's Inevitable Absorption​

"I don't see Canada staying together. I think Canada will ultimately be dismembered by the United States and be absorbed into the American Empire in the next 20, 30 years. I don't think Canada right now can be a sustainable nation."

The Three Economic Solutions Framework​

Canada had three options for economic growth:

  1. Resource Exploitation - Leveraging vast natural wealth
  2. Entrepreneurial Energy - Reducing regulation, encouraging innovation
  3. Mass Immigration - Rich immigrants for capital, poor immigrants for cheap labor

"So of these three solutions, the Canadian government went with the third solution, increase immigration."

Canadian National Framework: The Resource Bank Theory​

Core Characteristics​

"Canadians first and foremost are not ambitious. If Canadians were ambitious then Canada would be at war with America and America would have absorbed Canada into the American empire a long time ago."

"Canada is almost like a resource bank for the American Empire. The American Empire when it needs can always draw on the infinite resources of Canada."

The Three Canadian Religions​

  1. Environmentalism - "Canadians love the environment. They believe it is their duty, their inherent duty to protect and love trees."
  2. Multiculturalism - "The belief that diversity is good mainly because white people love ethnic food."
  3. Bureaucraticism - "Canadians worship authority. Canadians are extremely obedient. Canadians believe experts know everything."

Canadian Individual Characteristics​

"What are Canadians really good at? Well the first thing is Canadians are really good at following the rules from birth... Second thing that Canadians really are really good at is being polite... The third thing that Canadians are really good at, in fact, probably the best in the world at is being mediocre."

The Heaven on Earth Paradox​

Unprecedented Opportunity Wasted​

"If you can just conceptualize heaven on earth, it would be Canada, right? Extreme wealth, extremely generous government benefits. No one will go poor, no one will starve in Canada. No wars, just complete peace... Here is an opportunity for people to achieve eudaimonia, right? Eudaimonia is the Greek term for flourishing."

The Failure to Contribute​

"You would expect this tremendous outpouring of human creativity in Canada these past 50 years. In reality, Canadians have for the past 50 years chosen to shut off their brains... It's almost like everyone's on Prozac or something. This is Prozac Nation."

"After Canada becomes dismembered and joins the American Empire, maybe a generation afterwards, everyone's going to forget Canada ever existed because Canada has made absolutely no contribution to the world."

The Baby Boomer Problem: Three Fatal Characteristics​

1. Extreme Selfishness​

"Baby boomers are selfish. Everyone knows this. They had the most luxurious life. But the problem is that if you always lived a life of comfort and security and prosperity, you become a selfish individual because you think you deserve all this."

2. Refusal to Die​

"The problem is they're not dying... I asked my cousin who's a doctor, listen, if you're 90 years old and you're senile, you have Alzheimer's, you can't get out of bed, but you have unlimited wealth, how long can modern medicine keep you going? He said to me, she can go on for another 20 years at least."

3. Empire Addiction​

"Baby boomers are wedded to the idea of empire... They grew up in a time of the Pax Americana. They don't want to see it die in their lifetimes. They rather burn down the entire empire. They rather sacrifice their own children and their grandchildren than to lose the idea of empire while they're alive."

The Empire as Infanticide: The Bacchae Metaphor​

Euripides' Warning​

"Remember the image of a mother holding the head of her son and proclaiming the world, look how brave, powerful, and virtuous I am. An empire is a system where the old sacrifice the young for their glory."

Contemporary Application​

Recounting a conversation with a wealthy China expert in Brooklyn:

"I said there's a danger that America could be fighting wars on three major fronts. America could be fighting simultaneously Russia, Iran, and China. And then she looked at me and said, 'That's fine. We're America. We're the indispensable nation. We can do this. We can take on all three and defeat all three. Does not matter.' That's the arrogance of empire."

Rat Utopia: The Abundance Paradox​

The Calhoun Experiments​

"Rat utopia are series of experiments conducted by James B. Calhoun in the 60s and 70s... They created these experiments, these colonies where rats were allowed to live in a world of abundance. There were no predators. There was unlimited water and food... The social hierarchy that governed the rat colony collapsed and Calhoun calls this the behavior sink and very quickly the rats start to cannibalize each other."

The Status Zero-Sum Game​

"One thing that is not infinite, one thing that is a zero sum game is the idea of status... We are ingrained... the desire for status is inherent to us... In an enclosed environment where the rats can't run off somewhere else, then they're forced to constantly fight each other over and over again for status."

Elite Overproduction​

"Peter Turchin, the social scientist, has a concept for this. It's called elite overproduction. Societies collapse over time because too much elite is being produced and ultimately they will fight each other for the limited positions of power and status."

The Truth About Western Decline​

The Real Culprit​

"It was not the immigrants who destroyed the West. It was not Putin or Trump or Trudeau who destroyed the West. It was not the Jews. It was us because we became selfish, lazy, and corrupt. That's the real reason why the west is dying and the real reason why no one can do anything about it."

The Inability to Act​

"There's nothing we can do because, as I said, the baby boomers are the most dominant political group in the Western world. They control the political system. They control the financial system. They control the cultural system. And they're our parents. They're the people we love and honor and cherish."

The Obligation to Truth-Tell​

"I think the only thing we can do is tell the truth. We owe it to ourselves. We owe it to our children to let them know the truth... Because we refuse to admit the truth to ourselves. But the least we can do is tell the truth to our children."

Future Outlook​

No Room for Optimism​

"I'm not going to ever be optimistic about the world because there's no reason to be optimistic about the world."

Post-Collapse Rebuilding​

Jiang indicates his Substack will focus on "solutions for how we can rebuild a better world, how we can work together to build a better world after the world collapses."

Analytical Framework​

This analysis demonstrates Jiang's characteristic approach:

  • Structural over Surface-Level Analysis - Looking beyond obvious scapegoats to systemic causes
  • Historical Pattern Recognition - Using ancient precedents (Bacchae) to illuminate modern dynamics
  • Generational Conflict Theory - Framing current crises as intergenerational resource competition
  • Economic-Cultural Integration - Showing how economic policies create cultural "religions"
  • Biological Metaphors - Using rat experiments to explain human social collapse

Key Predictions​

  1. Canada's Dismemberment - Absorption into the American Empire within 20-30 years
  2. Continued Western Decline - Driven by Baby Boomer refusal to relinquish control
  3. Inevitable Collapse - No political solutions possible due to generational power dynamics
  4. Post-Collapse Reconstruction - Focus shifts to rebuilding after systemic failure

This analysis represents Jiang's most comprehensive framework for understanding Western civilizational decline through the lens of generational conflict and structural economic incentives.